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Economic Outlook - March 2009

Economic Outlook - March 2009
The general economy in the U.S. will continue to contract in 2009, with predictable impacts on employment and consumption. Oil prices will remain low (around $35/barrel) through April, but they will then trend higher for the rest of the year. Despite lower transportation costs, reduced demand and a stronger dollar have put a dent in exports of U.S.-manufactured forest products. The housing market shows some signs of turning a corner. Two indexes published by the National Association of Realtors indicate we are near the bottom: the Housing Affordability Index, which shows that homes are more affordable now than at any time in the last 25 years, and the Pending Home Sales Index, a forward-looking indicator based on signed contracts, which was revised upward for November and rose 6.3 percent in December. While housing may begin a recovery in 2009, however, the way back will be slow and far from smooth because of weakness in the general economy.

View the chart below for a closer look at the performance of the wood and paper products industries in January 2009.

wood and paper products economic outlook summary, march 2009

Read more about the Forest2Market Economic Outlook.

Economic Outlook - January 2009

Economic Outlook - January 2009

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