Commodity pricing and forecasts

With raw material and end-product pricing, ResourceWise provides access to global data on forest products and chemical intermediates markets through our business intelligence platforms. 

Our forecasts enable participants in the forest products and chemicals industries to respond confidently to market changes while assuming a comfortable level of risk. Using forecast models that can maximize return and minimize risk is simply smart business, especially in times of uncertainty.

Forest Products

Chemicals

 

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How Companies Use our Price and Forecast Data

  • Global timberland investors improve market intelligence by using our pricing data to benchmark and forecast log and fiber prices globally. Investors can also measure sales performance against consistently calibrated benchmarks to make portfolio balancing decisions as well as operational and managerial decisions.

  • Pulp mills want to optimize inbound feedstock logistics to minimize haul distance and lower price volatility. These mills also seek to balance pulp/paper sales portfolios to maximize price and minimize logistic costs. Customers use both our price and cost benchmarks, along with optimization tools to achieve results: lower costs via minimizing logistics, and maximizing revenue by discovering the most favorable markets.

  • Chemical producers have experienced both volatile feedstock and nylon 66 prices. Leary of getting caught in a margin squeeze, producers use our market pricing data to secure feedstock while simultaneously selling their chemicals forward, creating a hedge and built-in margin.

  • Private equity firms are buying lumber/solid wood manufacturing facilities and use ResourceWise to evaluate asset cost competitiveness, current and future supplies of wood raw material, and forecasts of lumber demand and price to make informed buying decisions.

Independent third-party sources of
commodity pricing and forecasts

  • Timber and lumber prices
  • Stumpage and delivered price forecasts 
  • Chemical prices
  • Chemical price forecasts
  • Trade-derived domestic prices for pulp and paper, virgin and recovered
  • Fisher–STE forecasts

Pricing and Forecasts

At ResourceWise, we have two methodologies for collecting pricing data:

  • Forest product pricing is the most precise and accurate available to the market. Collected from actual transactions for timber and lumber that are submitted by our customers, the data is then aggregated, anonymized, and reported back to our customers. 
  • Chemical pricing data is collected by our experienced industry experts through conversations with a robust range of market sources who are directly involved with chemical transactions. 

Our forecasts are based on an in-depth analysis of historical pricing data and its correlation to the most influential market drivers. 

For example, Fisher-STE Forecasts are made possible by good data, pulp & paper industry understanding, and System Dynamics mathematical models. Unlike traditional forecasting, our models work because they simulate the markets’ key drivers and how they interact: supply, demand, price, inventories, order rates, shipments, imports, exports, market leadership, etc.

Three Unique Benefits of Our Forecasts:

  • We predict price turning points - not just price levels - for pulp, paper, and energy markets.
  • We perform sensitivity analysis, testing proposed strategic plans against real market dynamics.
  • We explain market movements in verifiable, fact-based, common-sense terms that industry professionals find useful.

unparalleled insights into global commodities markets

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