ResourceWise Blog

China's SAF Exports Reach Record High as Europe's Demand Accelerates

Written by ResourceWise | Sep 29, 2026, 2:23:04 PM

China's sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) exports reached an all-time high in August, reinforcing the upward trend in shipments seen throughout 2026 and offering an encouraging signal for the market's continued development.

China exported approximately 131,000 tons of SAF during the month according to customs data. That was 37% higher than July's total and 30% above the previous monthly record set in May. It was also approximately 63% above the average monthly export volume recorded from January through August.

Europe received every ton exported in August, extending a pattern that has held since April. While a single record month does not define the market's long-term direction, the latest data shows that SAF is moving across borders at increasingly meaningful volumes. And European demand remains the central outlet for Chinese supply.

Why Did China's SAF Exports Reach a Record High in August?

The August record was driven primarily by a sharp increase in shipments to Belgium and alongside new highs in shipments to Spain and France.

Belgium received 62% more than in July and well above the record it had set just one month earlier. The country accounted for nearly three-quarters of all Chinese SAF exports during August.

Shipments to Spain rose 47% month over month to a new record. France also set a monthly record in August after taking no Chinese SAF in July.

These gains more than offset a steep decline in shipments to the Netherlands, which fell near 85% month-over-month from July to August. China has not exported SAF to the United Kingdom since May.

The shifts among individual destinations show that monthly trade routes can remain fluid even as the overall export trend strengthens. Volumes may move between European entry points based on multiple factors:

  • Purchasing activity

  • Logistics

  • Storage

  • Certification requirements

  • Other commercial considerations

The more important market-level development is that aggregate shipments continued to climb.

What Does the New Record Signal for the SAF Market?

August's performance provides further evidence that SAF trade is progressing beyond isolated cargoes toward larger and more consistent commercial flows.

Europe received 99.98% of China's export volume from January to August, making the connection between Chinese supply and European demand one of the clearest SAF trade relationships to emerge in 2026.

The pace of growth is particularly notable. August exports were higher than both the previous month and the earlier record. They were substantially above the year-to-date monthly average.

According to a Prima CarbonZero market report, the data indicates an acceleration in physical market activity.

For a sector working to scale production, establish dependable trade routes, and translate policy ambition into fuel consumption, rising cross-border volumes are an encouraging sign. They indicate that suppliers are placing larger quantities into the market and that buyers are finding channels to absorb them.

Why Is Europe Taking Nearly All of China's SAF?

Europe's near-total share of Chinese SAF exports reflects the region's growing role as a center of mandated SAF demand.

As aviation decarbonization requirements expand, European market participants must secure eligible fuel, understand available supply pathways, and manage the cost and compliance implications of rising demand. Chinese production has become an increasingly important source within that supply picture.

This concentration highlights both momentum and exposure. Europe is demonstrating a strong appetite for imported SAF. However, China's exports remain heavily dependent on a single region (and a small number of major destinations within that region). Changes in policy, eligibility rules, certification, trade measures, or buying patterns could therefore quickly redirect flows.

Is the Upward Trend in Chinese SAF Exports Sustainable?

The export trajectory is positive, but its durability will depend on more than production growth alone.

Future trade volumes will be shaped by several elements:

  • European mandate demand

  • Eligibility of Chinese supply under regional sustainability frameworks

  • Feedstock availability

  • Production economics

  • Competition from other suppliers

The movement of volumes among Belgium, the Netherlands, Spain, and France also shows why individual destination data should be interpreted within the broader trade picture.

Nevertheless, August represents a meaningful milestone. Chinese SAF exports have reached a new high, Europe continues to absorb virtually all available volume, and shipments are running well above their average pace for the year.

That does not eliminate the challenges facing SAF scale-up. It does, however, provide tangible evidence that the market is moving in the direction policymakers, producers, and aviation buyers have been working toward. This means greater supply, larger traded volumes, and increasingly established links between production centers and demand markets.

Follow the SAF Market's Next Moves

Record trade volumes are one sign of a growing SAF market. But they are only part of the picture.

Policy and mandate developments, pricing movements, feedstock economics, production activity, and shifting trade flows will all influence where the market goes next.

ResourceWise’s Sustainable Aviation Fuel Snapshot delivers a concise, data-backed view of these forces each month. The report brings together SAF policy updates, pricing analysis across HEFA, alcohol-to-jet, eSAF, and regional benchmarks, feedstock trends, and the latest trade, production, and project developments, all supported by Prima CarbonZero data.

Download the latest Sustainable Aviation Fuel Snapshot to stay informed about the signals shaping global SAF supply, demand, and investment strategy.